Famous-Hay
0x6ac247367282aad6b2e445a16804afd5d21e99bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.94
Realised
$-13.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
388 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
253 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
- YES
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
83 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
49 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?$0.00Jul 10, 09:16 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.79Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.64Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.72Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?$0.00Jul 7, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 7, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?$0.00Jul 7, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$0.00Jul 7, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 7, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?$0.00Jul 7, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$4.87Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$4.82Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?$1.01Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?$6.20Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$5.20Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$2.72Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?$6.50Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$9.30Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$7.10Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$6.10Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.