Old-Experiment
0x6ad93a056d8a3d56a01250e0ec5cb1d219afdd28
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.67
Realised
$-2.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$683.89Jul 9, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.58Jun 30, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$201.56Jun 30, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$593.52Jun 30, 20:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $260.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.