Knotty-Mistake
0x6b1121a3ddacd3aa7d5e1b879934c5f635f706bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$4.01
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$23.55
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1200 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-579.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1200 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-590.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
668 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-501.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
600 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-293.35
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
500 shares @ 91.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-458.16
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
500 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-451.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
355 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-177.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
350 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-346.50
- OVER
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 237.5
300 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-141.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.00Apr 9, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$5.00Mar 19, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$4.40Mar 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Kuwait again in March?$0.50Mar 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.51Mar 19, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.98Mar 19, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$3.71Mar 19, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$6.80Mar 19, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Kuwait again in March?$1.60Mar 19, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?$6.20Mar 19, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Mar 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?$15.80Mar 18, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Kuwait again in March?$1.76Mar 18, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Kuwait again in March?$1.74Mar 18, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$6.40Mar 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$6.80Mar 18, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.12Mar 18, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$0.18Mar 18, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.32Mar 18, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$0.25Mar 18, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".