Even-Developing
0x6b12934cd7746e54bd5973bc76b465879cf9e857
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.32
Total PnL
$-23.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?
262 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.6% in May?$172.17Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in May?$172.01Jun 9, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 10?$1.05Jun 9, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$1.08Jun 4, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$1.02Jun 2, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$1.06Jun 2, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$156.16Jun 2, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?$1.03Jun 1, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by May 31, 2026?$1.01Jun 1, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?$1.11May 30, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $32.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.