Muffled-Protein
0x6b170a8b01147798bee19aa26c3742345158ba2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$8.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
900 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$899.55
$899.55
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
4221 shares @ 0.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$865.33
$865.33
- NO
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?
720 shares @ 0.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$701.65
$701.65
- NO
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
700 shares @ 0.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$668.50
$668.50
- NO
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
638 shares @ 0.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$629.97
$629.97
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
639 shares @ 0.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$559.43
$559.43
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
695 shares @ 0.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$538.61
$538.61
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
1075 shares @ 0.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$462.14
$462.14
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
449 shares @ 0.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$430.37
$430.37
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?
401 shares @ 0.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$359.28
$359.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMMoscow air traffic suspended by July 25?$10.00Jul 26, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declares election interference national emergency by July 17?$39.22Jul 25, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$31.35Jul 25, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?$34.39Jul 25, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$0.00Jul 25, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$0.00Jul 25, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?$0.00Jul 24, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$570.78Jul 24, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?$0.00Jul 24, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMMoscow air traffic suspended by July 22?$22.60Jul 23, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 17, 2026?$25.95Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?$121.06Jul 21, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer officially leave office by July 31?$0.00Jul 20, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$0.00Jul 16, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$0.00Jul 14, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.