Smoggy-Rear
0x6b17c97ef64f28ea0fa96a10e1e84e4569d90032
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$3.39
Total PnL
$-36.73
Realised
$8.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.61
$-0.39
- NO
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Eight war" or "8th war" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 10+ times during Board of Peace events on February 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Orban" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.20Apr 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" during Board of Peace events on February 19?$0.00Apr 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.94Apr 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.05Apr 23, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 23, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.00Apr 23, 16:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 5, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $2.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".