Jumbo-Cupcake
0x6b17d237e6b7f74ce8171d6dc68e07bc21c803b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$404.73
Realised
$897.62
Win rate
64%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- NO
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
367 shares @ 94.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$345.93
$-1.66
- NO
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
580 shares @ 42.9¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$263.92
$15.33
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
308 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$260.00
$10.77
- NO
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
446 shares @ 56.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$238.69
$-11.20
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
212 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$203.73
$4.45
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
300 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.50
$4.50
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1199 shares @ 24.1¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$179.89
$-109.34
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
216 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$112.14
$0.07
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
442 shares @ 22.6¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$105.96
$6.29
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
163 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$103.50
$4.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5$8.32Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Haiti (-1.5)$15.60Jun 13, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?$2.35Jun 13, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21?$22.20Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.75Jun 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.72Jun 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$35.81Jun 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$2.60Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$5.36Jun 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$2.40Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$2.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$2.95Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?$226.38Jun 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti elections delayed again?$39.20Jun 13, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27?$154.86Jun 13, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$103.20Jun 13, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$111.80Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$80.11Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?$2.25Jun 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$100.59Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $36.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.