Disgusting-Coverall
0x6b19f202df653bf1361ef21045548d7eeaef8c72
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$-10.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.85
$0.85
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- PACKERS
Eagles vs. Packers
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
2 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Sep 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$0.34Sep 29, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$0.83Sep 29, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$1.00Jul 25, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$1.00Jul 25, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 25, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jul 25, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.85Jul 25, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$2.27Jul 25, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$1.00May 14, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 14, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $2.08May 14, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.00Dec 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $1.00Dec 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $1.00Dec 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.00Dec 11, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win white women?$2.13Dec 11, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?$1.92Dec 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?$1.00Nov 2, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?$1.00Nov 2, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 29, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.