Moist-Cephalopod
0x6b24b7d70ec1e40579dd4a7a174344afec7b2f22
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$8.90
Total PnL
$-528.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.90
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
1100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
520 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
175 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
162 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.09
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
148 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
128 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-89.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$24.07Apr 23, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$163.03Apr 23, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$20.00Apr 23, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$13.09Apr 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$160.00Apr 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$10.00Apr 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$10.00Apr 23, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$30.00Apr 23, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$10.00Apr 23, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$17.24Apr 23, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$18.46Apr 23, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$28.88Mar 12, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$31.56Mar 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $13.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".