Capital-Waterspout
0x6b46f76ddde535b27df02ffd34b04e133903db90
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$10.9K
Total PnL
$-867.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2648 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.5K
$52.17
- NO
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 93.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.2K
$67.10
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$666.00
$22.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$658.00
$14.00
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
600 shares @ 86.6¢·now 89.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$539.08
$19.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
588 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$531.46
$31.47
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
568 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$508.50
$8.52
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
585 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$470.75
$-32.16
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 9.9¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$454.00
$58.00
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
473 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$399.72
$-7.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.28Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$46.69Jun 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$193.62Jun 11, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$96.81Jun 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$163.00Jun 11, 12:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15Jun 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$19.46Jun 10, 12:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.34Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$156.00Jun 10, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$644.00Jun 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.84Jun 9, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.86Jun 9, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59.58Jun 9, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$72.64Jun 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.56Jun 9, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.51Jun 9, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $274.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.