Spotted-Address
0x6ba416d1f60404130695d578ec6dda47e15ba73e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$47.33
Total PnL
$-80.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.75
$18.75
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
453 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.84
$-1.16
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.25
$-3.75
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
215 shares @ 17.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$-34.88
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
123 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.37
$-19.63
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 22?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- RAFAEL JODAR
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- JOAO FONSECA
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 22?$10.67Jun 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.18Jun 22, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.19Jun 22, 15:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-1.5) AND Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$14.38Jun 17, 13:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$303.03Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $34.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.