Skinny-Goat
0x6bb5f2b0fbe2430328ee7b21369f9c0aa7bca518
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$903.04
Total PnL
$-48.0K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
29%
102 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1361 shares @ 68.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$782.39
$-147.42
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
244 shares @ 52.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$120.66
$-6.64
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
563561 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- MARCO CECCHINATO
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato
12983 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-242.70
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
11395 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-954.71
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?
6827 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- PEDRO MARTINEZ
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego
5120 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-201.14
- YES
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-18?
2894 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- HANJIN BRION
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
2710 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-633.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$120.00Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$517.49Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 102 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
102 closed markets, 29% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $49.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 102 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.