This-Earplug
0x6bb9b217769efbe8892d404d2f76092bdf3473e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
132
Open notional
$29.40
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$21.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
9 shares @ 92.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
287 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
136 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?
103 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals$15.63Jul 11, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$21.28Jul 11, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$16.95Jul 11, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Chicago White Sox$20.41Jul 11, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh$16.39Jul 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-11?$16.95Jul 11, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMSwiss Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilas$19.69Jul 11, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins$5.48Jul 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$10.26Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$10.20Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals$10.18Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Chicago White Sox$10.25Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrieste (Doubles): Jans/Whitehouse vs Kalender/Serdarusic$10.27Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYYokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants$10.27Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh$10.19Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Bucharest: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Cezar Gabriel Papoe$10.27Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-11?$10.25Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-11?$10.20Jul 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert$10.29Jul 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Edas Butvilas$10.25Jul 11, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.