Understated-Presume
0x6bba68a606107b8dd9df72b59175dad24c351f44
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-195.39
Realised
$4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?
217 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
40 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?
30 shares @ 67.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$61.59Apr 3, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.60Jan 24, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?$30.00Jan 21, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?$22.50Jan 20, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$26.74Jan 20, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.71Jan 8, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?$20.00Nov 4, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Celtics$7.00Oct 29, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?$20.00Oct 27, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$20.00Oct 27, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced in 2025?$7.04Oct 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$12.64Oct 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Oct 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$12.98Oct 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$9.33Oct 26, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?$38.46Oct 26, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?$20.00Oct 26, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Napoli win on 2025-10-25?$19.23Oct 26, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?$27.03Oct 26, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?$5.19Oct 25, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".