Fancy-Kill
0x6bc74c392c320cfe10d5be61db978a58c8444ad4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$249.54
Realised
$392.22
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
2590 shares @ 11.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$505.05
$197.26
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
541 shares @ 65.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$348.85
$-3.15
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
615 shares @ 24.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$248.90
$96.90
- NO
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
354 shares @ 70.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.35
$-58.41
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
450 shares @ 47.7¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$146.25
$-68.25
- YES
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
389 shares @ 13.5¢·now 30.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.22
$64.90
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
210 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$94.50
$-4.20
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$88.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
330 shares @ 67.7¢·now 24.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.02
$-143.37
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
300 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$79.50
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$21.95Jul 20, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$8.35Jul 20, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$9.00Jul 20, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$4.38Jul 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.32Jul 20, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$6.79Jul 20, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$245.21Jul 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$42.58Jul 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.31Jul 20, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$1.71Jul 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$13.39Jul 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 15?$98.70Jul 19, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?$0.10Jul 19, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$36.00Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$50.00Jul 18, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$100.00Jul 18, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$20.00Jul 18, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$87.00Jul 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$46.00Jul 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$48.00Jul 17, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $36.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.