0x6bd8d3aa68b705b26636c7afef725a0e97b2f260
0x6bd8d3aa68b705b26636c7afef725a0e97b2f260
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$531.14
Total PnL
$-130.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
136 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$126.14
$6.14
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.50
$-37.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1040 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
5918 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$53.26
$-46.73
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
701 shares @ 2.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$27.68
$7.68
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
733 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$20.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
36 shares @ 54.9¢·now 47.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$17.23
$-2.77
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.25
$-3.75
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 5, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$0.00Jun 5, 16:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during Wisconsin events?$10.39Jun 4, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beef" during Wisconsin events?$10.16Jun 4, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?$5.11Jun 4, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$10.34Jun 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?$5.41Jun 3, 15:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$120.60Jun 2, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6.27Jun 2, 16:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?$102.25Jun 1, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.87Jun 1, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?$23.96Jun 1, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video?$0.00Jun 1, 14:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?$4.07May 31, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $32.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".