Noisy-Balloon
0x6be4235f3778287c008e4fcfa9443dfbf2b36ff8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$329.57
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
3560 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$195.81
$-54.19
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
569 shares @ 22.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$133.76
$8.54
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
12917 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
9096 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-62.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
3308 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
3205 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
3030 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
1918 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-211.00
- YES
Ethereum above $4500 on August 20?
741 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$1.07May 24, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$132.06May 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?$266.27May 19, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Dec 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$60.00Dec 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$300.00Nov 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$11.00Nov 18, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$15.00Oct 31, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 29, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?$172.41Aug 26, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?$227.27Aug 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Udinese win on 2025-08-25?$100.00Aug 25, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?$100.00Aug 25, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?$100.00Aug 25, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?$100.00Aug 24, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Roma win on 2025-08-23?$212.77Aug 24, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2025-08-23?$100.00Aug 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-23?$100.00Aug 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?$100.00Aug 23, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $88.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".