Heartfelt-Lady
0x6be584707a7815b26966d192516d91778c5b1d7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.43
Total PnL
$-14.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 7?
473 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$1.00Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 15, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$1.00May 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$1.93May 14, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 7?$1.05May 6, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 8?$1.04May 6, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$1.00Apr 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$1.00Feb 12, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 12, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.00Jan 2, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$0.00Dec 30, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?$0.00Dec 28, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 28, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.