Bare-Pantologist
0x6be6059533bbe8ded58799d3f8fdcbbd396a4ebb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 31?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 19?
940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 20?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 26?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 11?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 26?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?
233 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?$94.09Jun 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?$94.01Jun 8, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$94.09Jun 8, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$94.00Jun 2, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?$1.00Jun 2, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?$93.09Jun 2, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?$93.01May 23, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 23?$1.00May 23, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$3.21May 23, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$97.10May 23, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$97.01May 19, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$97.10May 19, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?$97.01May 13, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$97.10May 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$97.00May 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.78May 7, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?$1.07May 7, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$99.10May 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$99.00May 5, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$99.09May 5, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $83.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.