Verifiable-Moth
0x6be8aded8245632ebd46b690341b3467b5be1c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$14.39
Total PnL
$-2.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.01
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.74
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.73
$0.01
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.35
$0.00
- NO
Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$1.30
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.40Jun 1, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.24May 9, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor reach $10 in April?$1.34Apr 30, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.73Apr 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.12Apr 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026?$1.28Apr 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$1.35Mar 30, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.72Mar 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?$2.16Dec 30, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.08Dec 29, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.08Dec 29, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.16Dec 29, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.05Dec 26, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.41Dec 26, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.46Dec 26, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.20Dec 24, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.46Dec 24, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.66Dec 24, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.21Dec 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.95Dec 23, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".