Ecstatic-Postbox
0x6bf633e483ed85b5a73c5a387bdffdd100772529
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$471.54
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-10.10
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
152 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.20
$1.35
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
130 shares @ 92.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.95
$-2.05
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
106 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$103.08
$1.08
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
107 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 21?
2607 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-99.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 20?
1906 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 28?
1309 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on May 29?
1255 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or higher on May 13?
1200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 22?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 13?$6.33Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13?$122.50Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?$7.94Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13?$5.56Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 13?$74.00Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 13?$0.04Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 13?$0.89Jun 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on June 13?$0.45Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13?$0.45Jun 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13?$0.54Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13?$0.75Jun 13, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13?$0.19Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on June 13?$0.05Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on June 13?$0.05Jun 13, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $0.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.