Exotic-Adverb
0x6bf9a1fadf88aa1e5c3dbd8c43e8652794e75f71
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$34.99
Total PnL
$-217.98
Realised
$-39.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Aurora Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament
22 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 51.7¢·now 47.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.27
$-0.73
- NO
Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.62
$0.62
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
188 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
79 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill LAB reach $24 before 2027?$5.15Jun 29, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora Gaming win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament$20.05Jun 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDR Congo leading at halftime? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$10.00Jun 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$1.02May 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$4.06May 26, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$10.14May 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$8.09May 13, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$13.11May 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$8.09May 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$77.21May 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$4.00Apr 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?$52.00Apr 7, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$11.42Mar 26, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$7.00Mar 26, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$147.70Mar 24, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$149.37Mar 24, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$149.37Mar 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$133.25Mar 20, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$9.64Mar 20, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$7.58Mar 16, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $43.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.