Discrete-Frown
0x6c0191ebc4200e466aea041409112b3d733edb19
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$110.61
Total PnL
$-181.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.10
$0.50
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.30
$0.70
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.10
$-4.70
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.55
$0.45
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.95
$0.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 81.9¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.82
$0.63
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.90
$0.30
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$7.63
$-0.86
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.15
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.97Jun 12, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.53Jun 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.90Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$7.60Jun 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$7.30Jun 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$7.30Jun 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$9.10Jun 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.19Jun 5, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$17.60Jun 4, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$9.00Jun 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$14.80Jun 4, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$8.50Jun 4, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.74Jun 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.76Jun 4, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$9.01Jun 4, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.00Jun 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$10.00Jun 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Jun 4, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Jun 4, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.