Defiant-Savior
0x6c06d534a79921d4c40372d0ab017f898d17f3e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.93
Total PnL
$-1.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.87
$-0.07
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.06
$-0.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$1.12May 16, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.16May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?$1.95May 15, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?$1.19May 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?$0.48May 15, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?$1.01May 15, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.40May 15, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?$0.88May 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.70May 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?$1.08May 15, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15?$1.01May 14, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$1.01May 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?$1.01May 14, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 15?$1.01May 14, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 14?$1.00May 14, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 14?$1.00May 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Mar 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.14Mar 25, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".