Modern-Kettledrum
0x6c10eaaffe241c59261c385d604d414c5287d5f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.54
Total PnL
$-1.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 61.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?$1.00Jan 24, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Jan 24, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 24, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 24, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Jan 24, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 24, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 24, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 24, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$1.03Jan 24, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.08Jan 24, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.12Jan 24, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.35Jan 24, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?$1.35Jan 24, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.49Jan 24, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.50Jan 24, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$866.75Nov 3, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$867.55Nov 3, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.00Nov 2, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 2, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $404.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.