Similar-Whelp
0x6c24c9d7f5c0c3fb62added2393f1f36f24441df
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.45
Realised
$1.82
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
153 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.64
- YES
Will Trump say "Longest Shutdown" during Signing tonight?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
24 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- BILLS
Bills vs. Texans
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- CROATIA
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
12 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
12 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jul 9, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$3.06Jul 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.57Jul 7, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$3.86Jul 5, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$5.09Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.93Jul 3, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.01Jul 2, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12Jun 25, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$12.28Jun 25, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$2.01Jun 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$5.03Jun 25, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?$0.37Jun 25, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?$1.02Jun 25, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$2.03Jun 25, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$7.42Jun 19, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$5.01Jun 19, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$0.01Jun 19, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$1.02Jun 19, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$1.02Jun 19, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.