Satisfied-Lasagna
0x6c6396f51c2d599f221ac09ab1ad904387c7f06d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$9.08
Total PnL
$-69.53
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.37
$0.37
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
11910 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-23.82
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
35 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$25.01Jul 28, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$5.13Jul 28, 09:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.62Jul 19, 22:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.05Jul 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.31Jul 15, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?$12.38Jul 15, 13:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.67Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.07Jul 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.06Jul 9, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.