Soggy-Satire
0x6c78daf44e4ab0b63d947392859b8fb992234a47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-147.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 19?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
9 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BIG EQUIPA
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG EQUIPA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.70May 26, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$1.01May 26, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.02May 26, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$4.95Apr 24, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$4.95Apr 24, 16:00 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?$5.00Apr 22, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 20?$1.08Apr 22, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMShymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Oleg Prihodko$1.10Apr 22, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.10Apr 22, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYShymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Oleg Prihodko$1.00Apr 21, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20?$4.95Apr 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 20?$1.00Apr 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?$1.00Apr 17, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.06Apr 17, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.14Apr 17, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 07:46 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 20?$5.00Apr 15, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?$4.95Apr 14, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 06:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 01:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.