0x6ca2a0f8a7d60cb8bc55a6b1327f3c36951a1981
0x6ca2a0f8a7d60cb8bc55a6b1327f3c36951a1981
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$20.58
Total PnL
$-248.13
Realised
$-30.79
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 1?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.89
$1.09
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 5?
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$2.38
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 on June 30?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.25
$0.62
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 2?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$2.03
$-0.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 4?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.27
$-0.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.21
$-0.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?
3 shares @ 53.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.11
$-0.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 1?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.07
$-0.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 6?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.05
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 30?$1.06Jun 30, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on June 29?$3.19Jun 30, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $60,000 on June 30?$1.66Jun 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 6?$1.43Jun 29, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?$1.83Jun 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 4?$1.79Jun 29, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?$1.41Jun 29, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 5?$2.40Jun 28, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on June 29?$2.25Jun 28, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 1?$2.86Jun 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?$1.70Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 27?$4.86Jun 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 1?$1.76Jun 27, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 2?$2.99Jun 27, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 27?$3.24Jun 27, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 27?$1.05Jun 27, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 26?$2.08Jun 27, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 26?$2.25Jun 27, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 26?$2.43Jun 27, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 26?$2.46Jun 27, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.