Fixed-Seminar
0x6cd4b712bb472d388072887fa97743e1972b8853
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$8.73
Total PnL
$-404.91
Realised
$-12.35
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.35
$-2.45
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?
56 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-3.14
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.10
$-9.90
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?
58 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-1.14
- YES
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?
600 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.60
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
150 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.60May 1, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.90May 1, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$15.38May 1, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?$20.00Apr 29, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$19.89Apr 29, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$1.18Apr 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$16.40Apr 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$3.90Apr 26, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$3.90Apr 26, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$3.82Apr 25, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$2.81Apr 25, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$0.56Apr 25, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$4.94Apr 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.29Apr 12, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$6.20Apr 9, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$9.80Apr 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$18.00Apr 7, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$16.80Apr 7, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$13.80Apr 7, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$6.70Apr 7, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".