0x6cd517eaa88ba717fa3aa3d5047feb0ce387f2cf
0x6cd517eaa88ba717fa3aa3d5047feb0ce387f2cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$61.6K
Total PnL
$718.06
Realised
$593.56
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
18000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.2K
$1.2K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
18000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.8K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7000 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.7K
$22.76
- NO
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.7K
$11.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1600 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$35.83
- NO
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1600 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.6K
$7.54
- NO
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1400 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.4K
$2.50
- NO
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1400 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.4K
$9.98
- YES
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.2K
$-0.34
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
1200 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$8.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$15.80Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 00:36 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.22Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$14.39Jun 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$38.61Jun 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.57Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$97.42Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$146.00Jun 12, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$344.40Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$93.60Jun 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$144.00Jun 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$96.00Jun 12, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$98.00Jun 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$49.55Jun 12, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$108.00Jun 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$116.00Jun 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$38.00Jun 12, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $81.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.