Grounded-Twist
0x6cf37cbbc607248179ef2c4ad29fd668d6faae71
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$26.99
Total PnL
$-19.37
Realised
$6.72
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?
8394 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 9, 2026$4.20
$-4.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
444 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 9?
1073 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.54
$-0.54
- YES
Will Jeremy Doku win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
348 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.52
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 9?$0.0723m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.0055m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.0056m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.6257m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.3859m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 10?$0.111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 10?$0.201h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 10?$0.091h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 10?$0.261h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 10?$0.191h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 10?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jeremy Doku win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$0.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.442h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?$1.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 10?$0.042h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 32-33°F on May 9?$0.062h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 32-33°F on May 9?$0.022h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 32-33°F on May 9?$0.102h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 32-33°F on May 9?$0.022h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 32-33°F on May 9?$0.022h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5h ago
- Last active
- 23m ago
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
