Joint-Methane
0x6cf534969ea831382c5870493bec88e7a7e74479
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-275.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
4577 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-28.99
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
1309 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
386 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
340 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?
286 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Another Canada election called in 2025?
118 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Fed rate cut in 2025?
113 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$28.00Mar 22, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$20.00Mar 22, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 22, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$16.39Mar 22, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?$51.58Mar 22, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Canada election called in 2025?$4.00Aug 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$10.00Aug 23, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?$11.00Aug 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?$5.00Aug 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$9.00Aug 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$5.00Aug 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia redistricting referendum passes?$10.00Aug 23, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$5.00Aug 23, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: August$29.41Aug 23, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$29.56Aug 23, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 1?$9.00Aug 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?$5.00Aug 1, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?$5.00Aug 1, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: August$5.00Aug 1, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$10.00Aug 1, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $11.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".