Frozen-Bird
0x6cf833cd47e3cc3c6a5dd993b8ec362ec09f042f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$14.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3832 shares @ 43.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.7K
$43.42
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
700 shares @ 62.1¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$537.25
$102.88
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1942 shares @ 23.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$534.10
$69.76
- NO
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
353 shares @ 77.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$351.89
$76.99
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
380 shares @ 77.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$313.49
$18.90
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
440 shares @ 77.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$310.20
$-30.80
- YES
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
385 shares @ 66.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$296.43
$40.45
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
1170 shares @ 28.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$204.71
$-126.32
- NO
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$199.90
$59.90
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$187.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.80Jun 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.61Jun 12, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.44Jun 12, 12:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$0.00Jun 11, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.74Jun 10, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.74Jun 10, 21:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7.50Jun 9, 16:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8.80Jun 7, 15:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$1.38Jun 5, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.