Ironclad-Hardware
0x6d09967d99f7ffc029027d7d3ba11938e3fa342e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$98.84
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
11 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.62
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on June 6?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.39
$-0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.53
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.21
$0.00
- NO
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.16
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.15
$0.00
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?$2.15Jun 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?$3.21Jun 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$5.39Jun 6, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?$1.05Jun 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 6?$1.06Jun 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 6?$1.10Jun 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on June 6?$1.11Jun 6, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on June 6?$10.00Jun 6, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.02Jun 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.05Jun 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.53Jun 6, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.05Jun 6, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.