Determined-Hazel
0x6d35e7d7bafa8f385c7b53f67529722dbce33e4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$12.15
Total PnL
$-207.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.26
$-1.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$3.90
$0.90
- NUGGETS
Kings vs. Nuggets
57 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
47 shares @ 91.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-43.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
20 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET$3.05Aug 2, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.14Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.07Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.11Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$1.18Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.20Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?$1.27Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.28Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.54Jul 22, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.00Jun 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$1.00Jun 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 11, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.00Jun 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$1.02Jun 11, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.00Jun 11, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.02Jun 11, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.