Optimistic-Dancing
0x6d497bb4de0a33ae54732f540d6429ccc7254f34
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-483.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$246.66
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$53.50
$2.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-195.00
- YES
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2250 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-74.25
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- CURAÇAO
Spread: Germany (-4.5)
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
130 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.40
- NO
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Lakers
41 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$51.75Jun 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.00Jun 15, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$102.34Jun 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$49.75Jun 15, 02:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$500.00Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$268.74Jun 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$50.32Jun 14, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$350.00Jun 14, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$50.93Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-4.5)$35.70Jun 13, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-4.5)$0.18Jun 13, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-4.5)$2.33Jun 13, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-4.5)$3.64Jun 13, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-4.5)$94.50Jun 13, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-4.5)$3.64Jun 13, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$200.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$49.75Jun 12, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $97.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.