Used-Evaporation
0x6d4c98a2032577c01e31015177238268aa869f8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$7.21
Total PnL
$-254.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
13 shares @ 68.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.21
$-1.63
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Wednesday?
300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
200 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
200 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?
100 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.60
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
78 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
45 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
44 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$8.84Apr 2, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.05Feb 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.20Feb 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.40Feb 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.40Feb 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.40Feb 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.40Feb 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.60Feb 25, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$4.80Feb 25, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.10Feb 25, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$15.00Jan 15, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$12.00Jan 14, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$30.00Jan 9, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5.00Nov 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$8.08Nov 10, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$30.00Nov 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic sweep?$5.25Nov 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?$3.01Oct 8, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?$9.19Oct 8, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?$15.77Aug 7, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $11.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".