Detailed-Resource
0x6d5e480d3b104f78b0809b441d5903e13e413b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-464.20
Realised
$-4.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
1600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 28?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
120 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
105 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$5.12Apr 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$1.20Apr 8, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.08Apr 8, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?$0.00Apr 7, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?$0.00Apr 6, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?$0.66Apr 5, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?$1.10Apr 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melbourne City FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?$1.10Apr 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?$1.15Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Baník Ostrava vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?$1.15Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.12Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$1.20Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.04Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.12Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.04Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$1.20Apr 3, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.12Apr 3, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.30Apr 3, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.12Apr 3, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$1.30Apr 3, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.