0x6d671b8f13a0f6a0a9bf683bc431a7d9c8e9cf6a
0x6d671b8f13a0f6a0a9bf683bc431a7d9c8e9cf6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$374.66
Total PnL
$-612.54
Realised
$-79.59
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
112 shares @ 22.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.00
$86.83
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
97 shares @ 22.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$96.82
$74.68
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
70 shares @ 29.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.00
$49.53
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
45 shares @ 40.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$44.92
$26.88
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
26 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.00
$20.02
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$14.80
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 58.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.92
$2.05
- VALLEJO
Chile Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Emilio Nava
1366 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-191.27
- OLIVIERI
Tigre 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Stefan Palosi
495 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-114.58
- SVRCINA
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobolli
336 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-74.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$0.54Apr 10, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$1.79Mar 21, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.30Mar 21, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.35Mar 21, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.60Mar 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.50Mar 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.50Mar 21, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$1.75Mar 21, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$1.85Mar 21, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$4.74Mar 21, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?$2.00Mar 12, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?$1.90Mar 12, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$4.10Mar 12, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$2.45Mar 12, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$2.45Mar 12, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.85Mar 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$2.35Mar 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$2.30Mar 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?$1.29Mar 12, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?$2.05Mar 12, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 19:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.