Humiliating-Impulse
0x6d83f41fef143cd4e7b5f6313f489cb30ee81cf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.43
Total PnL
$-20.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.43
$-1.57
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
11112 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.6K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2231 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2231 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2227 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2227 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2226 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2224 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2224 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2224 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.46Mar 27, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$9.00Mar 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$8.94Feb 4, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 8, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$1.52Jan 8, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.53Jan 8, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.55Jan 8, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.03Dec 11, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$1.50Dec 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.50Dec 5, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.50Nov 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.2KNov 20, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$12.64Nov 20, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.3KNov 20, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.2KNov 20, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.2KNov 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.1KNov 20, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$100.00Nov 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.0KNov 20, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.2KNov 20, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $587.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.