Dramatic-Reluctance
0x6d8fe8aae11be4a64b4cbbaf2ad3d9a37e228d48
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$676.65
Total PnL
$-49.11
Realised
$1.78
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
68 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.64
$0.25
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66 shares @ 90.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$58.81
$-1.04
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
66 shares @ 81.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.46
$2.77
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
62 shares @ 39.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.66
$24.94
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
52 shares @ 84.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.81
$3.16
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$44.48
$0.35
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.86
$0.46
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 75.4¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.35
$0.61
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 83.1¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.71
$0.08
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
29 shares @ 79.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$28.80
$5.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.06Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16?$1.16Jun 14, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?$0.74Jun 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?$0.34Jun 14, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?$1.13Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 15?$1.12Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?$0.83Jun 13, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13?$0.17Jun 13, 01:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?$0.27Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?$0.19Jun 13, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?$0.54Jun 13, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?$0.07Jun 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?$0.16Jun 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?$0.28Jun 13, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13?$0.15Jun 13, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?$0.58Jun 13, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?$0.87Jun 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?$0.11Jun 12, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.