0x6db68275f3dcc0a5453a106aad81c1421217267e
0x6db68275f3dcc0a5453a106aad81c1421217267e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
262 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Over $50M committed to the ALIGN public sale?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
16 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 22?$1.08Jul 22, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.04Jul 16, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.03Jul 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$3.18Jul 15, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$3.39Jul 14, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 15?$1.08Jul 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$1.05Jul 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$1.04Jul 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.61Jul 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.59Jul 9, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.02Jul 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.02Jul 8, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$1.01Jul 7, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$0.05Jul 7, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.02Jul 7, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$1.92Jul 7, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 5?$1.08Jul 5, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$1.02Jul 5, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$2.40Jul 5, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$1.02Jul 4, 19:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 06:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.