Sure-Footed-Bass
0x6e0cb56426b0af6a17ae31fc4880feefa6980ace
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.87
Total PnL
$-15.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.52
$0.53
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
52 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.73Mar 10, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.32Mar 10, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.00Mar 10, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.01Mar 10, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.29Mar 10, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.39Mar 10, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.73Mar 10, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.58Mar 10, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$3.72Mar 10, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$2.00Mar 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.00Mar 9, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.