Quiet-Power
0x6e24d0b3924613cc34a41e8cf1ff07cf529f8266
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$639.55
Realised
$178.59
Win rate
92%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2354 shares @ 53.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.8K
$528.70
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 34.4¢·now 46.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$460.50
$115.98
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
250 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$250.00
$127.50
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
370 shares @ 61.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$231.38
$3.59
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
225 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$213.75
$9.07
- YES
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
306 shares @ 14.1¢·now 60.8¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$186.28
$143.09
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
3681 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$108.58
$-33.83
- NO
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$97.05
$0.85
- YES
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
245 shares @ 19.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$83.45
$36.89
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
134 shares @ 52.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.82
$6.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$47.77Jul 26, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$122.50Jul 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$69.79Jul 24, 07:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.57Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$184.00Jul 21, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$145.00Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$155.00Jul 21, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.9KJul 20, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 20, 10:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.36Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.61Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.03Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$0.00Jul 19, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner$0.00Jul 19, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner$0.00Jul 19, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$0.00Jul 19, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$0.00Jul 19, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$547.43Jul 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$164.23Jul 19, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$254.92Jul 19, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
92% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $106.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.