0x6e42fb86086613f5375eb97ff7347f64296887d9
0x6e42fb86086613f5375eb97ff7347f64296887d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$211.42
Total PnL
$-310.08
Realised
$4.85
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
242 shares @ 52.4¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$134.37
$7.36
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
128 shares @ 28.5¢·now 31.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$39.87
$3.24
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
115 shares @ 9.3¢·now 8.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.26
$-0.37
- NO
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
119 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.45
$-4.31
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
443 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.97
$-4.65
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
104 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.75
$0.89
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
249 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-1.56
- YES
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1655 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.48
$-0.83
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
31 shares @ 6.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.70
$-0.42
- YES
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$-0.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$4.12Jul 14, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$2.26Jul 14, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$9.08Jul 14, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$68.17Jul 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$83.55Jul 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$29.70Jul 14, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$29.65Jul 14, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59.40Jul 14, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$11.33Jul 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.31Jul 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$29.68Jul 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.48Jul 14, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.84Jul 13, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.14Jul 12, 16:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $19.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.