Variable-Running
0x6e612d34193234df1eabf5f3417d31b55cdba88a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$515.73
Realised
$4.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1400 shares @ 51.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$944.99
$231.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3200 shares @ 14.9¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$545.60
$68.32
- YES
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1933 shares @ 13.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$512.25
$260.95
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1040 shares @ 24.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$275.60
$26.00
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
1180 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$194.69
$-53.10
- YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$155.00
$55.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
758 shares @ 15.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$120.92
$1.85
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
758 shares @ 12.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.79
$-9.47
- YES
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$69.05
$19.05
- YES
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
327 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.90
$7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?$7.20Jun 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?$101.23Jun 3, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles?$51.18Jun 3, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$32.71Jun 2, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$0.00Jun 2, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?$0.00Jun 2, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 30?$0.00Jun 2, 04:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$25.65Jun 1, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$20.12Jun 1, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$0.23Jun 1, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$100.00Jun 1, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$13.50Jun 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$2.85Jun 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?$54.69Jun 1, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1?$9.85Jun 1, 01:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $58.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".