0x6e664f19ad287733e7eafe01e0e541826d45f4ea
0x6e664f19ad287733e7eafe01e0e541826d45f4ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-4.7K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.1K
$63.60
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$78.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
1446 shares @ 54.3¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$665.16
$-119.89
- NO
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
900 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$657.00
$-18.00
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
715 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.08
$-25.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
41020 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$77.00Jun 19, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$48.12Jun 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$35.16Jun 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$32.95Jun 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$2.75Jun 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$355.86Jun 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 26, 2026?$324.52Jun 19, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 22, 2026?$757.50Jun 19, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$532.42Jun 19, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$522.40Jun 19, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.0KJun 19, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$150.13Jun 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$66.15Jun 19, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$120.00Jun 19, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 19, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$25.80Jun 19, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 19, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.98Jun 19, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.98Jun 19, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.98Jun 19, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $466.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.