Staid-Twister
0x6e6b13a7a67a048ef05248058bea216072559390
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$26.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
1000 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$500.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 91.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$180.09
$-3.60
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 68.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.00
$-174.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.90
$2.90
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 91.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$91.44
$-0.15
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.49
$18.49
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 35.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$74.85
$-30.15
- NO
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.99
$42.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?
11805 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-267.62
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
5500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-715.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$299.99May 16, 17:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$231.35May 15, 04:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$244.99May 13, 03:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$17.65May 12, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?$9.76May 11, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3.9KMay 11, 16:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?$50.40May 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?$12.60May 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$56.80May 10, 01:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?$72.80May 9, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$4.80May 9, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $51.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".