0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c
0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$129.4K
Total PnL
$-3.6M
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
60977 shares @ 80.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.1K
$3.2K
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
60520 shares @ 65.5¢·now 80.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$48.6K
$8.9K
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
81697 shares @ 4.5¢·now 15.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.9K
$9.2K
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
108743 shares @ 3.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.6K
$6.4K
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
227176 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.8K
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
49757 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$422.93
$-258.69
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
56377 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$28.19
$-15.9K
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Bucks
200000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-118.0K
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
129888 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-73.5K
- ROCKETS
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
126813 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-59.6K
Recent activity
- YIELD$11.62Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$11.56Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$11.52Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$13.48Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5$3.0KJul 22, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$234.79Jul 22, 11:44 UTC
- YIELD$11.51Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$32.10Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$176.4KJul 21, 02:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.21Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$14.20Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$421.59Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$131.99Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$21.9KJul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$16.25Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$3.25Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$96.85Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$6.07Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$20.3KJul 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings$13.00Jul 20, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$68.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 6, 00:00 UTC → Jul 14, 19:29 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.7K@33¢Jul 14, 19:29 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$31.7K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$60.7K · 89% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.